SCCF LOSOM Iter 3

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### Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual

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#### Iteration 3 Modeling Evaluation - Preferred Alternative

*Sanibel-Captiva Conservation Foundation*

*Conservancy of Southwest Florida*

**DRAFT** - December 14, 2021 (Updated: January 23, 2022 )

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.footnote[
Paul Julian PhD [<svg aria-hidden="true" role="img" viewBox="0 0 512 512" style="height:1em;width:1em;vertical-align:-0.125em;margin-right:0.2em;font-size:inherit;fill:currentColor;overflow:visible;position:relative;"><path d="M502.3 190.8c3.9-3.1 9.7-.2 9.7 4.7V400c0 26.5-21.5 48-48 48H48c-26.5 0-48-21.5-48-48V195.6c0-5 5.7-7.8 9.7-4.7 22.4 17.4 52.1 39.5 154.1 113.6 21.1 15.4 56.7 47.8 92.2 47.6 35.7.3 72-32.8 92.3-47.6 102-74.1 131.6-96.3 154-113.7zM256 320c23.2.4 56.6-29.2 73.4-41.4 132.7-96.3 142.8-104.7 173.4-128.7 5.8-4.5 9.2-11.5 9.2-18.9v-19c0-26.5-21.5-48-48-48H48C21.5 64 0 85.5 0 112v19c0 7.4 3.4 14.3 9.2 18.9 30.6 23.9 40.7 32.4 173.4 128.7 16.8 12.2 50.2 41.8 73.4 41.4z"/></svg>](mailto: pjulian@sccf.org) .small[pjulian@sccf.org]

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---
name: alternatives

### Iteration 3 - Model runs

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Distinct operational zones and regulatory disharge rates selected based on LOSOM objectives (without C43 Reservoir)</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d1a75865">PA25</td><td class="cl-d1a75864">Preferred Alterative 2025. Distinct operational zones and regulatory disharge rates selected based on LOSOM objectives (with C43 Reservoir)</td></tr></tbody><tfoot><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-d1a75867"> 1 Existing Conditions Baseline 2019</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-d1a75867"> 2 No Action Condition 2022</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-d1a75867"> 3No Action Condition 2025</td></tr></tfoot></table></div></template>
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name: SalEnv1

### Salinity Envelope
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/RECOVER_SalEnv_.png" alt="RECOVER salinity envelope evaluation during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries." width="100%" />
RECOVER salinity envelope evaluation during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries.
</div>

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name: SalEnv2

### Salinity Envelope
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/RECOVER_SalEnv_FWO.png" alt="RECOVER salinity envelope evaluation relative to each respective FWO/No Action Alterantives during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries." width="100%" />
RECOVER salinity envelope evaluation relative to each respective FWO/No Action Alterantives during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries.
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0.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d2857e28{width:54pt;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 2pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 2pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d2857e29{width:54pt;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 2pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 2pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table class='cl-d28c319e'><caption class="Table Caption">RECOVER Estuary salinit envelope 14-day period count of low, optimum, stress, damaging and extreme flow events for Caloosatchee and St Lucie estuaries based on 14-day moving average discharge data. </caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2857e29">Area </td><td class="cl-d2857e29">Alt</td><td class="cl-d2857e28">Low Events </td><td class="cl-d2857e28">Optimum Events </td><td class="cl-d2857e28">Stress Events from LOK </td><td class="cl-d2857e28">Damaging Events from LOK</td><td class="cl-d2857e28">Extreme Events </td></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td rowspan="5"class="cl-d2855717">CRE 1 </td><td class="cl-d2855718">ECB19</td><td class="cl-d2855716">663</td><td class="cl-d2855716">469</td><td class="cl-d2855716">184</td><td class="cl-d2855716">198</td><td class="cl-d2855716">66</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">NA22f</td><td class="cl-d2855716">651</td><td class="cl-d2855716">462</td><td class="cl-d2855716">198</td><td class="cl-d2855716">205</td><td class="cl-d2855716">62</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">PA22</td><td class="cl-d2855716">550</td><td class="cl-d2855716">635</td><td class="cl-d2855716">69</td><td class="cl-d2855716">79</td><td class="cl-d2855716">80</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">NA25f</td><td class="cl-d2855716">556</td><td class="cl-d2855716">588</td><td class="cl-d2855716">183</td><td class="cl-d2855716">187</td><td class="cl-d2855716">57</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d285571e">PA25</td><td class="cl-d285571c">455</td><td class="cl-d285571c">765</td><td class="cl-d285571c">66</td><td class="cl-d285571c">81</td><td class="cl-d285571c">72</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td rowspan="5"class="cl-d2855720">SLE 1 </td><td class="cl-d2857e26">ECB19</td><td class="cl-d285571f">109</td><td class="cl-d285571f">831</td><td class="cl-d285571f">164</td><td class="cl-d285571f">159</td><td class="cl-d285571f">179</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">NA22f</td><td class="cl-d2855716">107</td><td class="cl-d2855716">864</td><td class="cl-d2855716">147</td><td class="cl-d2855716">140</td><td class="cl-d2855716">162</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">PA22</td><td class="cl-d2855716">183</td><td class="cl-d2855716">915</td><td class="cl-d2855716">30</td><td class="cl-d2855716">37</td><td class="cl-d2855716">167</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d2855718">NA25f</td><td class="cl-d2855716">107</td><td class="cl-d2855716">865</td><td class="cl-d2855716">145</td><td class="cl-d2855716">140</td><td class="cl-d2855716">162</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d285571a">PA25</td><td class="cl-d2855719">183</td><td class="cl-d2855719">912</td><td class="cl-d2855719">30</td><td class="cl-d2855719">38</td><td class="cl-d2855719">164</td></tr></tbody><tfoot><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> 1 CRE: Caloosahatchee Estuary; SLE: St Lucie Estuary</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> Low Flows CRE: &lt; 750 cfs; SLE: &lt; 150 cfs</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> Optimum Flows CRE: ≥ 750 cfs &amp; &lt; 2100 cfs; SLE: ≥ 150 cfs &amp; &lt; 1400 cfs cfs</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> Stressful Flows CRE: ≥ 2100 cfs &amp; &lt; 2600 cfs; SLE: ≥ 1400 cfs &amp; &lt; 1700 cfs</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> Damaging Flows CRE: &gt; 2600 cfs; SLE:&gt; 1700 cfs</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="7"class="cl-d2857e27"> Data Source: USACE and SFWMD Interagency Modeling Center.</td></tr></tfoot></table></div></template>
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---
name: SalEnv4

### Salinity Envelope
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/Month_SalEnv_.png" alt="Monthly salinity envelope evaluation during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries." width="100%" />
Monthly salinity envelope evaluation during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries.
</div>

---
name: SalEnv5

### Salinity Envelope
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/Month_SalEnv_FWO.png" alt="Monthly salinity envelope evaluation relative to each respective FWO/No Action Alterantives during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries." width="100%" />
Monthly salinity envelope evaluation relative to each respective FWO/No Action Alterantives during the simulation period of record for Caloosahatchee (top) and St Lucie (bottom) estuaries.
</div>

---
name: CREQ1

### CRE Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/MonthQ_S79_PA22.png" alt="Comparing monthly average discharge at S79 between NA22f and PA22." width="90%" />
Comparing monthly average discharge at S79 between NA22f and PA22.
</div>

---
name: CREQ2

### CRE Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/MonthQ_S79_PA25.png" alt="Comparing monthly average discharge at S79 between NA25f and PA25." width="90%" />
Comparing monthly average discharge at S79 between NA25f and PA25.
</div>

---
name: CREQ3

### CRE Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/MonthQ_S79_season.png" alt="Seasonality of monthly average discharge across all alternatives." width="50%" />
Seasonality of monthly average discharge across all alternatives.
</div>

---
name: CREQ4

### CRE Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/MonthQ_S79_cat.png" alt="Calendar plot of monthly average S-79 discharge." width="95%" />
Calendar plot of monthly average S-79 discharge.
</div>

---
name: RegQ

### Regulatory Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/iter3_PA_AvgFloodControl.png" alt="Average annual flood control (i.e. regulatory) discharges for each major flow-path." width="100%" />
Average annual flood control (i.e. regulatory) discharges for each major flow-path.
</div>

---
name: RegQ2

### Regulatory Discharge
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/Lakedischarge_Annualmean.png" alt="Average annual lake sourced discharges to CRE and SLE within stressful and damaging discharges." width="100%" />
Average annual lake sourced discharges to CRE and SLE within stressful and damaging discharges.
</div>

---
name: ZoneD

### Lake Okeechobee Regulation Schedule
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_Stage_RegSch.png" alt="Percent of time (period of simulation) above, within and below Zone D." width="90%" />
Percent of time (period of simulation) above, within and below Zone D.
</div>

---
name: ZoneD2
class: middle

### Lake Okeechobee Regulation Schedule
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/TSP_S79Q_zones.png" alt="Distribution of daily discharge at S79 above, within and below Zone D." width="110%" />
Distribution of daily discharge at S79 above, within and below Zone D.
</div>

---
name: LOK

### Lake Okeechobee 
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_stg.png" alt="Percent of time LOK stage above 17 Ft, 16 Ft and below 10 Ft NGVD29" width="50%" />
Percent of time LOK stage above 17 Ft, 16 Ft and below 10 Ft NGVD29
</div>

---
name: LOK

### Lake Okeechobee 
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_GT17_timeline.png" alt="Timeline of annual LOK max stage &gt; 17 Ft NGVD29." width="100%" />
Timeline of annual LOK max stage > 17 Ft NGVD29.
</div>

---
name: LOK2

### Lake Okeechobee - Stage Envelope

<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_Env.png" alt="Normal and recovery ecological stage envelope timeline for each alternative." width="100%" />
Normal and recovery ecological stage envelope timeline for each alternative.
</div>

---
name: LOK3

### Lake Okeechobee - Stage Envelope

<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_EnvScore_AllYrs.png" alt="LOK ecological stage envelope total scores (all years)." width="80%" />
LOK ecological stage envelope total scores (all years).
</div>

---
name: LOK4

### Lake Okeechobee - Stage Envelope

<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_EnvScore_MaySep.png" alt="LOK ecological stage envelope total scores (all years, May to September)." width="80%" />
LOK ecological stage envelope total scores (all years, May to September).
</div>

---
name: LOK5

### Lake Okeechobee - High Stage Events

---
name: LOK6

### Lake Okeechobee - weekly recession
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_wkreccess.png" alt="Calendar plot of LOK weekly recession rates (all years and days)." width="100%" />
Calendar plot of LOK weekly recession rates (all years and days).
</div>

---
name: LOK6

### Lake Okeechobee - weekly recession
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center">
<img src="./Plots/Iteration3_Final/LOK_wkreccess_snki.png" alt="Calendar plot of LOK weekly recession rates specific to SNKI nesting period." width="100%" />
Calendar plot of LOK weekly recession rates specific to SNKI nesting period.
</div>